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How the Odds can Shift Based on Recent Events
How the Odds can Shift Based on Recent Events

Live sport is known for its uncertainty. This is one of the main reasons why it is so exciting. The odds of various outcomes can shift for an assortment of reasons. Team selection, recent form and external news events can all have a major bearing on how likely a result will be as predicted. Bookmakers consider all of the factors when offering odds on the different matches and tournaments. When you apply this to team sports, which players are available at any given time is essential for assessing the odds. In the UK Premier League, Liverpool FC are among the favorites for the title. However, the fact that three of their top players, Mo Salah, Sadio Mane and Naby Keita will be unavailable at the start of next year due to the African Cup of Nations will likely impact their odds. Salah is expected to represent Egypt in the tournament, with Mane playing for his home nation of Senegal. Keita competes for his home nation of Guinea. The cup will take around a month to complete during one of the essential parts of the Premier League season. The odds for Liverpool’s games over this period will therefore be affected. The altering of the odds based on the availability of players is also seen in the NFL. The recent news of Aaron Rodgers being unavailable for the Green Bay Packers had a significant effect on the NFL betting odds. Rodgers is the number one quarterback for his team and the loss of his services has had a significant impact on their chances of doing well. A major change in the starting lineup such as this can make a team go from favorite to underdog for the ensuing match. Injuries, suspensions and tactical team changes are the biggest causes for fluctuation in how people place their wagers. For example, let’s say that a team loses their star player just a day before match day. This will have a huge influence on the betting line and the resulting odds. It could also be that a star player misses a game due to suspension or because the coaching team thinks that they need a rest before a tougher game in the coming week. This would be known as a tactical change, as the player is technically available, but being left out as the coach feels it more important to give them a break. Other factors can also cause a change in the odds. For instance, which team has had the better or worse recent form is often a decisive factor in the odds. A team might be deemed to be stronger by the experts, but if they are on the back of a string of recent defeats, the bookmakers will shift the odds accordingly. Media stories also play a part in how people make bets on sports. The media sometimes ‘hypes up’ locker room news to get more people tuning in. The ramifications for the eventual betting behavior are then amplified, having a direct effect on the odds. Sports fans looking to make a wager on a match covered by the media in this way should try and concentrate on the game itself and not the background dramas. Punters would be advised to focus on the team selection and form book. They could also ask themselves whether the story is likely to have any bearing on the possible result. Generally speaking, betting on anything is deemed surer when you can bet as closely as possible to the time of the event. This means you can act with all the available information and have the most up to date odds on an outcome. However, this will also affect the possible eventual winnings. Consider if someone is looking at making a bet on the eventual winner of the NFL. The odds will be more favorable for a team when there is a greater amount of time until the culmination of the season. This is because it is a harder bet to make with all the variables multiplying over the duration of the year. For this reason, it is usually wiser to wait until a more detailed assessment of the probabilities can be made later in the season. Watching how others are betting is also good advice for the sports fan. When new information comes to light about an upcoming game, people will shift their bets accordingly. Being aware of this is invaluable and demonstrates why the odds have changed. So, if an announcement about the starting team is made three hours before kick-off and a star player is left out, the money being bet on the opponents could change dramatically. The sudden influx of new funds backing a particular team will mean that the odds will shift to accommodate the change. It is in the nature of bookmaking that the odds can change right up until kick-off. The smart punter will be aware of this and be able to use all the latest information for a bet.

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Empoli vs Genoa Prediction and Preview (05.11.2021)
Empoli vs Genoa Prediction and Preview (05.11.2021)

The first match of the round with number 12 in Serie A, the Italian football championship, will be played today at 19:45, on the "Carlo Castellani" stadium in Empoli, where the host team will receive a visit from Genoa. Last season, the two teams did not meet, due to the fact that Empoli played in Serie B, managing to return to the first division after only one season. The last direct confrontations took place in 2019 and were won by Genoa, 2-1 at home and 3-1 away. Empoli is doing very well after returning to the first league, having five victories and six defeats in the first 11 rounds of Serie A, being with Fiorentina the only teams that did not record any tie in this beginning of the championship. Last stage, Empoli managed an important away victory with Sassuolo, score 1-2. At home, Empoli managed a victory victory in the six matches, score 4-2 with Bologna, in the other matches suffering defeats on the line. Genoa is also this season at the bottom of the standings with only eight points accumulated this season after 11 rounds played. Genoa recorded only one victory this season, even in the first stage when they won 3-2 away against Cagliari. In the last two stages, Genoa ended in a draw, the matches with Spezia at home and Venezia away, score 0-0. Prediction: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.65

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Galatasaray vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction and Preview (04.11.2021)
Galatasaray vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction and Preview (04.11.2021)

Galatasaray vs Lokomotiv Moscow is one of the strongest duels of the round with the number 4 in the Europa League groups and is scheduled to start at 17:45, in group E. The round match between the two teams was a balanced one and ended with the victory of Galatasaray that prevailed with 1-0, due to the goal scored by Akturkoglu in the second half in the 82nd minute. Tonight will be the confrontation with the number six of the teams, the score being 3-2 for Galatasaray. Galatasaray have suffered only two defeats in the last ten official matches. Before tonight's confrontation with Lokomotiv Moscow, Galatasaray won the championship match played at home against Gaziantep, score 2-0. Galatasaray has a very good start in the Europa League groups, being the leader of group E after the three matches played, in which she registered two victories and a draw result. With a victory in today's match, Galatasaray ensures its qualification in the European spring, having great chances to finish the group on the first place. On the other hand, Lokomotiv Moscow comes after two championship victories, 2-1 with Sochi at home and 1-2 away with Nizhny Novgorod. With these two victories, Lokomotiv Moscow kept its 2nd place in the championship, but the distance to the 1st place, occupied by Zenit St. Petersburg remained five points behind. In the Europa League, things are not very good for Lokomotiv, which after three rounds played occupies the last place in the standings with only one accumulated point. Prediction: Galatasaray WIN @ 1.70

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Sheriff Tiraspol vs Inter Prediction and Preview (03.11.2021)
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Inter Prediction and Preview (03.11.2021)

The surprising leader of group D, Sheriff Tiraspol, will receive the visit of Inter, in a match from the 4th stage of the UEFA Champions League groups, the meeting being scheduled to start at 20:00. Only one direct confrontation took place between the two teams, in the round, when Inter beat "Giuseppe Meazza" with the score of 3-1. Both teams are undefeated in the last three games, since the last direct confrontation, and tonight's duel promises to be extremely interesting but also important for both. Sheriff Tiraspol continues its perfect course in the championship, where it recorded two similar victories, 2-0 with Balti at home and 0-2 away with Petrocub. In addition to these two victories in the championship, Sheriff also qualified for the quarterfinals of the Cup of the Republic of Moldova, defeating Saxan Gagauz Yeri 6-0 at home. As I said above, Sheriff Tiraspol occupies the first place in group D, after the first three matches, having six points accumulated, as well as the occupant of the 2nd place, Real Madrid, a team that defeated the Santiago Bernabeu. Inter also comes after two similar victories in Serie A, 0-2 with Empoli away and 2-0 at home with Udinese, in the last match before this confrontation. Apart from these two matches, Inter also played the derby with Juventus on "Giuseppe Meazza" which ended in a draw, score 1-1, after Inter led until the 89th minute. After the first three rounds of the UEFA Champions League, Inter occupies the 3rd place in the group with only four points accumulated, and tonight's match announces a decisive one in terms of qualifying for the eighth finals of the UEFA Champions League, only the victory managing to keep them in the race for the first two places. Prediction: UNDER 3.5 GOALS @ 1.55

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Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Chelsea
14 10 3 1 +27 33
2
Manchester City
14 10 2 2 +21 32
3
Liverpool
14 9 4 1 +31 31
4
West Ham
14 7 3 4 +8 24
5
Arsenal
14 7 2 5 -3 23
6
Tottenham
13 7 1 5 -4 22
7
Manchester Utd
14 6 3 5 0 21
8
Wolves
14 6 3 5 0 21
9
Brighton
14 4 7 3 -2 19
10
Leicester
14 5 4 5 -3 19
11
Crystal Palace
14 3 7 4 -1 16
12 Brentford 14 4 4 6 -2 16
13
Aston Villa
14 5 1 8 -4 16
14
Everton
14 4 3 7 -7 15
15
Southampton
14 3 6 5 -7 15
16 Leeds 14 3 6 5 -7 15
17
Watford
14 4 1 9 -7 13
18
Burnley
13 1 7 5 -6 10
19
Norwich
14 2 4 8 -20 10
20
Newcastle
14 0 7 7 -14 7
G Player Team
13 Mohamed Salah
Liverpool
9 J. Vardy
Leicester City
8 Diogo Jota
Liverpool
7 S. Mané
Liverpool
6 M. Antonio
West Ham United
6 E. Dennis
Watford
6 Raphinha Leeds United
6 Cristiano Ronaldo
Manchester United
5 Bruno Fernandes
Manchester United
5 M. Cornet
Burnley
5 J. King
Watford
5 N. Maupay Brighton and Hove Albion
5 Bernardo Silva
Manchester City
5 T. Pukki Norwich City
5 I. Sarr
Watford
Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Real Madrid
15 11 3 1 +20 36
2
Atl. Madrid
14 8 5 1 +12 29
3
Real Sociedad
15 8 5 2 +8 29
4
Sevilla
14 8 4 2 +13 28
5
Betis
15 8 3 4 +7 27
6
Rayo Vallecano
15 7 3 5 +7 24
7
Barcelona
14 6 5 3 +7 23
8
Ath Bilbao
15 4 8 3 +2 20
9
Espanyol
15 5 5 5 +1 20
10
Osasuna
15 5 5 5 -4 20
11
Valencia
15 4 7 4 +1 19
12
Villarreal
14 3 7 4 0 16
13
Celta Vigo
15 4 4 7 -3 16
14 Mallorca 15 3 7 5 -8 16
15
Alaves
14 4 2 8 -8 14
16
Granada CF
14 2 6 6 -8 12
17
Elche
15 2 6 7 -9 12
18 Cadiz CF 15 2 6 7 -14 12
19
Getafe
15 2 4 9 -9 10
20
Levante
15 0 7 8 -15 7
G Player Team
12 K. Benzema
Real Madrid
9 Vinícius Júnior
Real Madrid
8 M. Depay
Barcelona
8 Juanmi
Real Betis
7 Raúl de Tomás
Espanyol
7 Joselu
Alaves
7 L. Suárez Atletico Madrid
6 Iago Aspas
Celta Vigo
6 Mikel Oyarzabal
Real Sociedad
5 Willian José
Real Betis
5 Álvaro García
Rayo Vallecano
5 R. Falcao
Rayo Vallecano
5 A. Groeneveld
Villarreal
5 A. Lozano Cadiz
5 Santi Mina
Celta Vigo
Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern Munich
13 10 1 2 +29 31
2
Dortmund
13 10 0 3 +14 30
3
Bayer Leverkusen
13 7 3 3 +10 24
4
Freiburg
13 6 4 3 +6 22
5
Hoffenheim
13 6 2 5 +7 20
6 Union Berlin 13 5 5 3 +1 20
7
Wolfsburg
13 6 2 5 -2 20
8
RB Leipzig
13 5 3 5 +8 18
9
Mainz
13 5 3 5 +3 18
10
FC Koln
13 4 6 3 0 18
11
B. Monchengladbach
13 5 3 5 0 18
12
Eintracht Frankfurt
13 4 6 3 -1 18
13 Bochum 13 5 1 7 -8 16
14
Hertha Berlin
13 4 2 7 -14 14
15
Stuttgart
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Augsburg
13 3 4 6 -10 13
17 Arminia Bielefeld 13 1 6 6 -10 9
18 Greuther Furth 13 0 1 12 -28 1
G Player Team
14 R. Lewandowski
Bayern Munich
10 E. Haaland
Borussia Dortmund
8 T. Awoniyi Union Berlin
8 A. Modeste FC Cologne
8 P. Schick
Bayer Leverkusen
7 J. Hofmann
Borussia Mandapos;gladbach
6 J. Burkardt
Mainz
6 S. Gnabry
Bayern Munich
5 I. Bebou
Hoffenheim
5 M. Diaby
Bayer Leverkusen
5 C. Nkunku
RB Leipzig
5 L. Nmecha
Wolfsburg
5 W. Weghorst
Wolfsburg
5 F. Wirtz
Bayer Leverkusen
4 E. Forsberg
RB Leipzig
Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Napoli
15 11 3 1 +23 36
2
AC Milan
15 11 2 2 +15 35
3
Inter
15 10 4 1 +21 34
4
Atalanta
15 9 4 2 +15 31
5
AS Roma
15 8 1 6 +8 25
6
Fiorentina
15 8 0 7 +4 24
7
Juventus
15 7 3 5 +4 24
8
Bologna
15 7 3 5 -3 24
9
Lazio
15 6 4 5 0 22
10
Verona
15 5 5 5 +3 20
11
Empoli
15 6 2 7 -5 20
12
Sassuolo
15 5 4 6 +1 19
13
Torino
15 5 3 7 +3 18
14
Udinese
15 3 7 5 -4 16
15
Sampdoria
15 4 3 8 -8 15
16 Venezia 15 4 3 8 -13 15
17 Spezia 15 3 2 10 -19 11
18
Genoa
15 1 7 7 -12 10
19
Cagliari
15 1 6 8 -13 9
20 Salernitana 15 2 2 11 -20 8
G Player Team
12 D. Vlahović
Fiorentina
11 C. Immobile
Lazio
9 G. Simeone
Verona
9 D. Zapata
Atalanta
8 João Pedro
Cagliari
8 Lautaro Martínez Inter Milan
7 D. Berardi
Sassuolo
7 E. Džeko Inter Milan
7 M. Pašalić
Atalanta
6 M. Arnautović
Bologna
6 Beto
Udinese
6 A. Candreva
Sampdoria
6 M. Destro
Genoa
6 Z. Ibrahimović
AC Milan
5 A. Barák
Verona
Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris SG
16 13 2 1 +20 41
2
Marseille
15 8 5 2 +10 29
3
Rennes
16 8 4 4 +13 28
4
Nice
16 8 4 4 +13 27
5
Lens
16 7 5 4 +7 26
6
Strasbourg
16 6 5 5 +9 23
7
Monaco
16 6 5 5 +3 23
8
Angers
16 5 7 4 +2 22
9
Montpellier
16 6 4 6 +1 22
10
Lyon
15 6 4 5 0 22
11 Brest 16 5 6 5 +1 21
12
Lille
16 5 6 5 -2 21
13
Nantes
16 5 4 7 -1 19
14
Reims
16 4 7 5 -1 19
15
Troyes
16 4 4 8 -8 16
16
Lorient
16 3 6 7 -12 15
17 Clermont 16 3 5 8 -12 14
18
Bordeaux
16 2 7 7 -13 13
19
Metz
16 2 6 8 -15 12
20
St Etienne
16 2 6 8 -15 12
G Player Team
10 J. David
Lille
9 G. Laborde
Rennes
8 L. Ajorque
Strasbourg
8 M. Bayo Clermont
8 W. Ben Yedder
Monaco
8 A. Gouiri
Nice
7 L. Blas
Nantes
7 A. Delort
Nice
7 H. Diallo
Strasbourg
7 W. Khazri Saint-Etienne
7 K. Mbappé
PSG
6 H. Ekitike
Reims
6 R. Faivre Brest
6 D. Payet
Marseille
6 Lucas Paquetá
Lyon

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